View Poll Results: How will you vote in the EU referendum?
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EU Referendum
#3602
Scooby Regular
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From: in the woods...........555 Wagon Sqn
Well they might if a second referendum showed a change in the will of the people. I think there is a valid argument for a second referendum as the one we had was such a farce - walking blindfold into the ballot box. Even now we would still be in the dark but there is some light emerging.
But would May have the metaphorical ***** to take this step? I very much doubt it. David
But would May have the metaphorical ***** to take this step? I very much doubt it. David
I think there is a valid argument for a second referendum, but I wonder how much of that is because I voted remain...it's a sticky wicket regardless; dammed if they do, dammed if they don't...but isn't that what we pay these ******* for?
#3603
#3605
Besides it's not a decision we can evaluate based on a few months. Once were out, deals in place and things have settle down for a couple of years we will know.
#3606
and how important is that trade to germany and france? (only use those two cos they are the biggest). How much is it? is it 10% of vw's sales? etc etc
Right now its a view between optimism and pessimism. Bit like what the vote was made into, those pessimists are being proven wrong time and time again. In 5 years we will know.
Right now its a view between optimism and pessimism. Bit like what the vote was made into, those pessimists are being proven wrong time and time again. In 5 years we will know.
Now, if France's trade with us amounts to 15% of their foreign trade, they take a hit on 15% of their trade. If Germany has 15% of their trade with us, they take a hit on 15% of their trade. And on it goes, each individual member state takes a hit, but not a great one.
However, 46% of our trade is with the EU. It doesn't matter which states they are individually, we trade with the EU as a bloc, we cannot trade with them individually. So, you can say the EU trades with us a lot (but still only about 18% of their trade), but they will suffer a lot less than the UK will.
It really is as simple as that.
I suspect if the question on the referendum has been something like "Would you rather have less immigration but a considerably worse economic situation or have immigration but a strong economy without a failing currency" instead of the ambiguous "Should the UK remain a member of the EU?" then I suspect the outcome would have been different.
The question was too simplistic and didn't allow people any chance of making an informed choice unless they were willing to invest considerable time to look at the ramifications. Leave campaign was then able to appeal to the fears of an island nation, it was too easy.
Hey ho
#3608
From what I understand from speaking to one of the lawyers within the company (it goes very into deep legal stuff so way way over my head and google isn;t your friend in this case haha), it can actually be done. Has to be worded in specific ways and certain things done but isn't impossible.
But that said it would be easier to negotiate 1 than 28.
But all this is a bit of a moot point and we won't know till the time comes.
But that said it would be easier to negotiate 1 than 28.
But all this is a bit of a moot point and we won't know till the time comes.
and made more hilarious by the fact that you laugh at the remain crowd getting it wrong
#3609
Scooby Regular
iTrader: (41)
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From: in the woods...........555 Wagon Sqn
Why is there any valid argument for it? The majority spoke. All this crap about it not being a big enough majority is stupid, a majority is 1 vote more.
Besides it's not a decision we can evaluate based on a few months. Once were out, deals in place and things have settle down for a couple of years we will know.
Besides it's not a decision we can evaluate based on a few months. Once were out, deals in place and things have settle down for a couple of years we will know.
I think there are a few, but my particular #1 reason is the lies spouted by the leave lot.
#3610
No one has said we cannot trade with the EU, so after we leave we continue to trade with them, but more likely than not, on worse terms.
Now, if France's trade with us amounts to 15% of their foreign trade, they take a hit on 15% of their trade. If Germany has 15% of their trade with us, they take a hit on 15% of their trade. And on it goes, each individual member state takes a hit, but not a great one.
However, 46% of our trade is with the EU. It doesn't matter which states they are individually, we trade with the EU as a bloc, we cannot trade with them individually. So, you can say the EU trades with us a lot (but still only about 18% of their trade), but they will suffer a lot less than the UK will.
It really is as simple as that.
I suspect if the question on the referendum has been something like "Would you rather have less immigration but a considerably worse economic situation or have immigration but a strong economy without a failing currency" instead of the ambiguous "Should the UK remain a member of the EU?" then I suspect the outcome would have been different.
The question was too simplistic and didn't allow people any chance of making an informed choice unless they were willing to invest considerable time to look at the ramifications. Leave campaign was then able to appeal to the fears of an island nation, it was too easy.
Hey ho
Now, if France's trade with us amounts to 15% of their foreign trade, they take a hit on 15% of their trade. If Germany has 15% of their trade with us, they take a hit on 15% of their trade. And on it goes, each individual member state takes a hit, but not a great one.
However, 46% of our trade is with the EU. It doesn't matter which states they are individually, we trade with the EU as a bloc, we cannot trade with them individually. So, you can say the EU trades with us a lot (but still only about 18% of their trade), but they will suffer a lot less than the UK will.
It really is as simple as that.
I suspect if the question on the referendum has been something like "Would you rather have less immigration but a considerably worse economic situation or have immigration but a strong economy without a failing currency" instead of the ambiguous "Should the UK remain a member of the EU?" then I suspect the outcome would have been different.
The question was too simplistic and didn't allow people any chance of making an informed choice unless they were willing to invest considerable time to look at the ramifications. Leave campaign was then able to appeal to the fears of an island nation, it was too easy.
Hey ho
Again it comes back to optimism vs pessimism,
The question was and still is simple, how you came about the answer to that question is what is not.
#3612
#3615
#3616
#3617
#3618
How else do you gauge it?
Our system is broken because of party politics. each MP should vote the way the majority of their constituents want them to vote, not the way their party leader tells them to vote.
But again this is going way way off track from the original point
Our system is broken because of party politics. each MP should vote the way the majority of their constituents want them to vote, not the way their party leader tells them to vote.
But again this is going way way off track from the original point
#3619
And that in itself is a leading question. How do you know if the economy is going to be weaker? your guessing it will be weaker, it could as easily be stronger. Right now the BOE is predicted higher than initially expected growth.
Again it comes back to optimism vs pessimism,
The question was and still is simple, how you came about the answer to that question is what is not.
Again it comes back to optimism vs pessimism,
The question was and still is simple, how you came about the answer to that question is what is not.
So, the options are a Norwegian type affair, which Brexiteers don't like, or a hard Brexit, which means WTO rules, so increased tariffs, so our relationship with the EU is going to cost more. Unless you think we shouldn't trade with them at all?
That leaves our trade with the rest of the world. I'm sure some deals will be great, but you can get your bottom dollar that a country like China is going to want to get the best deal for them, not us (as they have already shown). I think it unlikely that the world of queuing up to give old Blighty the deals they want, as opposed to the deals they want. It will be long, protracted business, some good, some not so good.
We do not have the manufacturing base, or workforce anymore, to become competitive against the far east.
What does that leave us with? Our services industry, which is heavily dependent on our EU membership.
Sounds like a winner to me.........
#3621
Sad but true. And I am confident that not a single poster on this thread has altered their opinion on the subject one iota
#3623
Scooby Regular
iTrader: (41)
Joined: Nov 2003
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From: in the woods...........555 Wagon Sqn
Well they might if a second referendum showed a change in the will of the people. I think there is a valid argument for a second referendum as the one we had was such a farce - walking blindfold into the ballot box. Even now we would still be in the dark but there is some light emerging.
But would May have the metaphorical ***** to take this step? I very much doubt it. David
But would May have the metaphorical ***** to take this step? I very much doubt it. David
I'd love to see anther vote, both from the perspective of leaving being a dumb thing to do...and to see what the results would be a second time around.
#3624
#3628
#3630
I always vote, im in my early 30's and have been voting since 18 years old, So not a first time voter, and I dont get to upset when the party I vote for doesn't get elected either!!!