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How do you calculate cumulative probability?

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Old 13 February 2004, 12:56 PM
  #211  
imlach
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remember my Evening News report on online gambling debt?
Old 13 February 2004, 12:59 PM
  #212  
milo
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Originally Posted by Saxo Boy
it would be nice but I'd probably blow it
and you accuse other people of talking about tossing head...
Old 13 February 2004, 01:00 PM
  #213  
eClaire
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You could walk to the casino you lazy sod!
Old 13 February 2004, 01:03 PM
  #214  
LG John
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remember my Evening News report on online gambling debt?
Yes and the Herald and Post did a similar feature recently. This is an addition problem. I hope I've demonstraited that I have a far more logical and disaplined mind - I will only put up real money if a) its other peoples anyway (poker winnings) and b) I'm very sure the system will work. Until then I can't lose a penny.

I mean in general claire
Old 13 February 2004, 01:05 PM
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Old 13 February 2004, 01:08 PM
  #216  
milo
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Originally Posted by Saxo Boy
Btw, I'm starting to think you abuse your work internet privillages 'almost' as much as me
dont worry... i abuse mine WAY more than both of u combined

many an hour is spent hitting the refresh button on this forum when im not skiving off to the gym

i have NO idea why i havent been fired yet... but whatever. company's fault for not giving me anything to do i guess

at least the money allows me to save up towards a pro powerlifting/bb'ing career
Old 13 February 2004, 01:11 PM
  #217  
imlach
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Originally Posted by Saxo Boy
Yes and the Herald and Post did a similar feature recently.
Just FYI, they are the same paper - it is the same article - they use stories from the Scotsman/Evening News.
Old 13 February 2004, 01:16 PM
  #218  
LG John
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FYI they are not the same paper. My Herald & Post may have the exact same amount of pages and exact same words written on it as yours but each paper is unique and different
Old 13 February 2004, 01:19 PM
  #219  
imlach
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Originally Posted by Saxo Boy
FYI they are not the same paper. My Herald & Post may have the exact same amount of pages and exact same words written on it as yours but each paper is unique and different
Humph - pedantic smart ar$e
(a trait I am guilty of too!)

Last edited by imlach; 13 February 2004 at 01:19 PM.
Old 13 February 2004, 01:24 PM
  #220  
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Then I am going to rip it off
Hope we're not still talking about tossing heads
Old 13 February 2004, 01:32 PM
  #221  
LG John
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Humph - pedantic smart ar$e
LOL

Sipie - don't read this thread, run and hide man, run and hide
Old 13 February 2004, 01:37 PM
  #222  
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I still think cracking their random number generator with an autoregressive prediction algorithm would be easier... Of course, this depends on how bright the implementers of the casino are...

Write a model of the roulette wheel and your system in a programming language of your choice, and let it run for a few hours as a Monte Carlo simulation, then see how it stands up.

Come to think of it - I may do just that and post the results up here to prove this one way or the other. (I have a feeling I already know the answer, as I believe in O'Toole's law - "Murphy was an optimist!")
Old 13 February 2004, 01:38 PM
  #223  
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Another interesting thing I just thought: Technically speaking the ONLY advantage the house has is the 'zero'. Having played my first game I recon there was about 5-7 zeros in total. Each time they cost me nothing so effectively I cancelled out that advantage

Of course I understand its not so relevant as you have to look at the bigger picture, i.e. how many numbers help you vs how many that don't but I'm just making the point
Old 13 February 2004, 01:39 PM
  #224  
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Write a model of the roulette wheel and your system in a programming language of your choice, and let it run for a few hours as a Monte Carlo simulation, then see how it stands up
What I find really amusing isn't that you think I could write such a programme but rather that you think I'd have choice over which programme language
Old 13 February 2004, 01:42 PM
  #225  
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Originally Posted by Saxo Boy
Another interesting thing I just thought: Technically speaking the ONLY advantage the house has is the 'zero'. Having played my first game I recon there was about 5-7 zeros in total.
how many spins do u reckon u did? based on what you've just said there.. id say 200-250?
Old 13 February 2004, 01:44 PM
  #226  
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Originally Posted by Saxo Boy
What I find really amusing isn't that you think I could write such a programme but rather that you think I'd have choice over which programme language
im working on one as we speak...
Old 13 February 2004, 01:45 PM
  #227  
LG John
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To be brutally honest I couldn't even begin to guess (must be more than that though so there must have been more zeros). This is why I think I should log it next time as this is information that would be useful to have

Last edited by LG John; 13 February 2004 at 01:45 PM.
Old 13 February 2004, 01:46 PM
  #228  
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Excel would have been OK. It's a programming language of sorts...

You forget what I do for a living and what I do in my spare time - I've now got a very skewed view of reality now. (I'm sure I told you once... )

Not to mention a rather sad soical life
Old 13 February 2004, 01:50 PM
  #229  
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I'd love to check as you are probably a VIP but SN3 kinda screwed that up Remind me

Besides, Milo is the brains (and muscles ) of this outfit
Old 13 February 2004, 01:54 PM
  #230  
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LOL.

I design parts for radars in the defence industry - this includes some mathematical modelling...

Oh and I write car engine diagnostic software in my spare time.
Old 13 February 2004, 01:55 PM
  #231  
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I think I might have started WW3
Old 13 February 2004, 01:57 PM
  #232  
LG John
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Local skirmish more like Nothing the 36,000 other members of our community need worry about
Old 13 February 2004, 01:58 PM
  #233  
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You haven't with me. Besides, I only deal with radar - I can't get hold of missiles...

Old 13 February 2004, 02:07 PM
  #234  
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How much for a radar - I fear I might need it
Old 13 February 2004, 02:25 PM
  #235  
dnb
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The one I'm currently working on is in the 10s of millions bracket...
Old 13 February 2004, 02:40 PM
  #236  
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12 pages and no mention of Martingale systems!

I'm with Imlach. Having traded & studied trading and money management for coming up to 15 years, I understand what SB is trying to do and although it may work in a small sample, in the long run, it won't.

Classic thread
Old 13 February 2004, 02:54 PM
  #237  
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12 pages and no mention of Martingale systems
Not so, the system I proposes incorporates the martingale system as one of its component parts. It is NOT the only part of the system though
Old 13 February 2004, 02:55 PM
  #238  
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It is NOT the only part of the system though

it's just the only part of the system that means anything.


Last edited by ProperCharlie; 13 February 2004 at 03:11 PM. Reason: just thought i'd add a quote as they are so popular
Old 13 February 2004, 03:09 PM
  #239  
LG John
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I'd argue the pyramid part of the system is more fundamental and important as each new level builds in more resistance to loses

By pyramid I mean each £810 'game' generating 2 offspring of equal value
Old 13 February 2004, 03:10 PM
  #240  
eClaire
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Jeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeesus, are you lot still going on about this? I am going to be 'Run Recorder' tonight


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