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Old 14 September 2007, 12:53 PM
  #211  
OllyK
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Originally Posted by marky1
Can I have my prize please?
You're 3 months too early
Old 14 September 2007, 01:05 PM
  #212  
marky1
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They aint going to 6%, or 6.25, or 6.50 before the year end. If any move it will be down.
Old 14 September 2007, 04:52 PM
  #213  
MrRee007
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It's going UP UP UP UP UP
Old 14 September 2007, 05:36 PM
  #214  
Petem95
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Originally Posted by marky1
They aint going to 6%, or 6.25, or 6.50 before the year end. If any move it will be down.
With inflation continuing to rise they are still most likely to rise IMO, but the increase is clearly going to be delayed (and that delay is already hitting Sterling). If they cut them then sterling will start to slide against other currencies, and that will result in inflation as our imports become more expensive!

Sounds like further rises are being delayed however;

To ease panic in the financial system, the Bank of England could delay raising rates, further hitting the pound.
BBC NEWS | Business | Pound reaches 14-month euro low
Old 14 September 2007, 06:52 PM
  #215  
Dracoro
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Originally Posted by OllyK
You're 3 months too early

anyway, 3/4s through the year with only 1 rise to go before I'm right
Old 17 January 2008, 10:29 AM
  #216  
marky1
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Talking

Originally Posted by Dracoro

Even if rates end up at 6.5% I still happily say I don't know what I'm talking about and you do. However I'd be right and you'd be wrong.....Let's have a little challenge to review in 12 months time. Who's closer to the rate. I say now, 6% as the non-expert. You as the expert say X% and surely you'll end up right, we shall see.

Let's face it, experts do NOT know. they suspect, they predict, they anticipate, they hope but they do NOT know as has been proven in the past. What were your last years predicitions for year end?
I was closer - stick to the day job The expert wins.....

Last edited by marky1; 17 January 2008 at 10:31 AM.
Old 17 January 2008, 12:54 PM
  #217  
Dracoro
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Originally Posted by marky1
I was closer - stick to the day job The expert wins.....
We were BOTH wrong, you won nothing

I was merely more wrong than you
Old 17 January 2008, 12:57 PM
  #218  
Dracoro
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Anyway, what's it going to be next year?
Old 17 January 2008, 01:20 PM
  #219  
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2009 is a long time off yet.......
Old 17 January 2008, 01:48 PM
  #220  
EddScott
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Originally Posted by Dracoro
Anyway, what's it going to be next year?
Word around the campfire is a possible drop to as much as 5% by the end of the year.

Attempt to keep spending boyant as inflation rises I believe.
Old 17 January 2008, 02:22 PM
  #221  
marky1
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Originally Posted by Dracoro
We were BOTH wrong, you won nothing

I was merely more wrong than you
The question as you put it was who was closer! Sure I didn't get it bang on but if you read back to the original post my whole point was that it's easy for the market to be wrong by 25 basis points. At the time you were looking for rates to be 6.5% (although you did bottle it and bring that down to 6% when challenged!) As you say experts are never right all the time but they try to accurately predict, I think I managed to do that. I'm trading sterling interest rate futures every day so I would like to think I have a reasonable knowledge of how things work.
Anyway as for next year I am pretty unsure at the moment, a lot more going on in the world than there was this time last year, makes it a harder call.

Last edited by marky1; 17 January 2008 at 02:25 PM.
Old 17 January 2008, 03:02 PM
  #222  
fast bloke
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Originally Posted by Abdabz
PS rates wont go over 5.75% this year. I know for I am wise.

I think Abdabz gets the prize.
Old 17 January 2008, 03:19 PM
  #223  
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Exclamation

Originally Posted by Petem95
With inflation continuing to rise they are still most likely to rise IMO,
Maybe the wooden spoon for this one
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