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Old 11 September 2007, 07:36 PM
  #32  
Petem95
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Originally Posted by **************
how many years have you been on here saying prices were going to fall? Take this posters advice at your peril The only thing that is likely fall is the rate at which house prices go up.
Looking forward to digging up this thread towards the end of the year when we have price falls across the country
Old 11 September 2007, 07:39 PM
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Are you still at it

Can we dig up all your threads about the crash then?
Old 11 September 2007, 08:05 PM
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Originally Posted by davyboy
Are you still at it

Can we dig up all your threads about the crash then?
Sure, towards the end of the year when the falls have begun you can dig them up to your hearts content
Old 11 September 2007, 08:50 PM
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Originally Posted by FlightMan
Agree, but there has to be some personal responsibility surely?
Yes very true.
Old 11 September 2007, 11:24 PM
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Originally Posted by OllyK
How is a £100K mortgage costing £700 pcm when my £85K mortgage is costing £500?
Me and the girl friend recently went to find out about what mortgage we could get (we are first time buyers).

For a 120k mortgage at the current rate would cost £720ish (cant remember the exact figure) a month. That was based on 30 years with a view of changing it down to 25 later on and between us we would be putting down about 30k deposit.
Old 11 September 2007, 11:31 PM
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Originally Posted by stiscooby
Me and the girl friend recently went to find out about what mortgage we could get (we are first time buyers).

For a 120k mortgage at the current rate would cost £720ish (cant remember the exact figure) a month. That was based on 30 years with a view of changing it down to 25 later on and between us we would be putting down about 30k deposit.


I can remember 5yrs ago i was paying that on a 150k property over 25yrs.

Wouldnt be me borrowing these days.
Old 11 September 2007, 11:33 PM
  #39  
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LOL you've been playing that violin for years fella! I've an inkling (sp?) that the sun will turn in to a supernova sometime soon & take out planet earth at the same time ...

TX.

Originally Posted by Petem95
You mean "asking prices" rose 2% in July according to the most optimistic stats of that month, a month before the credit crunch started...

House prices look set to fall sharply (IMO - but look set to fall however you look at it) thanks to mortgage lenders pulling many mortgages and upping rates on many more - as well as tightening lending criteria.
Old 11 September 2007, 11:40 PM
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The SN renters have already lost out on 10 / 11 years of mental house price increases. Don't feel sorry for them though as they've no doubt managed to save Millions during that time ...

TX.

Originally Posted by PaulC72
Alot depends on what you think the housing market is going to do over the next 2-5 years, it could go up at the steady 8 -10% it has been per year or it could just stop and hold where it is, who knows....I am sure some the SN users do
Old 11 September 2007, 11:44 PM
  #41  
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Come clean Pete ... you have been saying this since you joined?

TX.

Originally Posted by Petem95
Looking forward to digging up this thread towards the end of the year when we have price falls across the country
Old 12 September 2007, 12:29 AM
  #42  
fast bloke
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Originally Posted by Petem95
Sure, towards the end of the year when the falls have begun you can dig them up to your hearts content
Yeah Pete - you have been calling a crash for at least 3-4 years. In 4 years Belfast has seen average house price go from 62k to 246k. If we get back to 62k less your predicted 30% crash any time between now and 2011 (or 3011 if that suits) I will buy you any 10 houses of your choice - oh you probably wouldn't want them as they will be worthless eventually anyway
Old 12 September 2007, 12:51 AM
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Originally Posted by fast bloke
Yeah Pete - you have been calling a crash for at least 3-4 years. In 4 years Belfast has seen average house price go from 62k to 246k. If we get back to 62k less your predicted 30% crash any time between now and 2011 (or 3011 if that suits) I will buy you any 10 houses of your choice - oh you probably wouldn't want them as they will be worthless eventually anyway
Belfast is an extreme example, and I think there are a number of factors due to the rises there, such as the area becoming rapidly more wealthy now that the IRA threat has all but gone etc, so cant compare to the UK in general.

At the end of the day nobody can predict the future. Few would have forseen the flood of easy credit which has propped up the latest boom. IMO we are in for a heafty crash, but I guess we will have to take up this discussion in 3-4 months time (IMO crash will be underway by then) and see how things look then

Clearly a lot of people want prices to rise/stay high - obviously makes them feel wealthy - I think TX is in this catagory, but this doesnt mean prices will not crash. Lets just wait and see!
Old 12 September 2007, 01:16 AM
  #44  
fast bloke
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How are you going to define the crash? Prices down 30% would be fairly serious if house price growth was 1% a year. However if it has been over 50% per year (in the case of Northern Ireland) for the last three years, with an incredible 42% in 3 months, then a 30% drop isn't really that bad.
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