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Interest Rates to stay Lowwwwww !!!!

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Old 12 October 2009, 12:18 PM
  #31  
EddScott
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Its highly likely that rate will stay very low for a long time.

There are more people needing low rates rather than high rates and those that think 6 or 7% interest rates are a good idea - if you think things were bad 12 months ago how well do you think things will be when those on 2-3% trackers start getting close to double figures?

And those mindless enough to take out big loans because their mortgage is 50p a month for their new scooby.

Rates can only creep up very slowly to allow people to finance themselves accordingly. A sharp rise will do just as much damage.

And anyway, what are people doing messing about with high street rates - theres a fortune to be made on them there markets. Although its unlikely to last, the recent gains have been fantastic

Last edited by EddScott; 12 October 2009 at 12:20 PM.
Old 12 October 2009, 12:25 PM
  #32  
TelBoy
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Originally Posted by Jay m A
Hey I was only going by the news reports earlier this year, quite a few banks have been making profits. And high lending rates were reportedly (amoungst other things) due to LIBOR being high relative to base at the time. Now if LIBOR has reduced and the lending rates haven't by as much then fine, good for them, my underwear is nicely aligned.

I do read the Times though!
As with all aspects of this story, it's not a simple picture. At the end of last year, banks could have made a lot of money. A lot. But they were so scared to lend even a tenner to the shoeshine boy that the market just seized. The spread to Libor of lending rates has certainly declined, but there's still an atmosphere of caution. What we need, is for the QE to start filtering into the economy, which has so far failed spectacularly. Rumours that the Bank of England will reduce interest paid on wholesale deposits at the Bank have been circulated/denied/fanned, but something needs to be done to give banks an incentive to do something more creative with their money rather than merely sitting on it day to day.
Old 12 October 2009, 12:42 PM
  #33  
njkmrs
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
My thoughts exactly

Who are you quoting, njkmrs? David Smith in the Sunday Times? Or is it just your hunch?

Read it on the BBC news website .
My Hunch about us coming out of the recession ,green shoots etc back in Dec/Jan was not too far off the mark .!!!!!!!!
Old 12 October 2009, 12:57 PM
  #34  
EddScott
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I have an opposite hunch that IF we are going for another dip it will be the coming Dec/Jan.
Old 12 October 2009, 01:10 PM
  #35  
njkmrs
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lol .
I wouldnt put money on any scenario at the moment .Anything is possible !!!!!
Old 12 October 2009, 01:17 PM
  #37  
hodgy0_2
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i think the truth is people are making it up as they go along

I wouldn't trust economist tbh, they havn't covered themselves in glory over the past few years

only thing for sure is that people like making money -- and as far as our economy goes the easiest way is to shuffle money around
Old 12 October 2009, 01:36 PM
  #38  
TelBoy
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**** me here we go again

Who, pray tell me, is "shuffling money around" at the moment? And what exactly does that entail?
Old 12 October 2009, 01:39 PM
  #39  
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Would be great if passed on but doesn't seem to be happening! My wife just got "pre-approved" on a credit card at 51% interest PA with a £15k credit limit Also who can afford to lay down a 40% deposit for a new mortgage? No doubt some of the SNet millionaires will say no problem however it is / will be a problem for the majority ...

TX.

Originally Posted by Luminous
However, low interest rates have got to be good to help kickstart the economy. Cheaper finance for businesses and hopefully lower mortgage rates to help people keep their homes.
Old 12 October 2009, 01:44 PM
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That will never end as it's part of the market ... the time lag between each though may change

TX.

Originally Posted by hutton_d
I'm sure this'll mean an end to boom and bust ....
Old 12 October 2009, 02:06 PM
  #42  
EddScott
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Whereas I appreciate that banks lend to each other on LIBOR rates, does it not mean that as base rate is 0.5% and banks are lending to us at 7+% they are making more that when base rate was 5%?
Old 12 October 2009, 02:07 PM
  #43  
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
**** me here we go again

Who, pray tell me, is "shuffling money around" at the moment? And what exactly does that entail?
i use the term "shuffling money around" as a euphemism for the UK economies reliance on the finance/banking sector
Old 12 October 2009, 02:10 PM
  #44  
TelBoy
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Ok, but what precise activities of the banks fall into your definition? ALL of them??
Old 12 October 2009, 08:12 PM
  #45  
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And anyway, what are people doing messing about with high street rates - theres a fortune to be made on them there markets. Although its unlikely to last, the recent gains have been fantastic [/QUOTE]


And as they say Fortune Favours the Brave .

The FTSE slipped to circa 3200 or something only a short while ago .Now its at 5200 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

If you had the Kahooners to jump on this then well done I say .Big, Big, gains would have been made Im sure .(unfortunately I have not got the knowledge on this so did not take advantage .)

But as most areas in life ,risk taking, can lead to great rewards .Its just how much you can afford to lose that stops most .!!!!!
Old 12 October 2009, 08:41 PM
  #46  
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
Ok, but what precise activities of the banks fall into your definition? ALL of them??
No not all of the them -- and it was the sexy products, the endlessly slicing and dicing these pre-packaged financial products (mortgaged backed securities etc etc) so that the only value they had was the fact that some other idiot who didn’t understand them either would buy them.

the rewards looked fantastic and it seems to me that most banks got sucked into this form of banking (after all why wouldn't they), taking their focus away from the boring stuff like high street retail banking.
Old 12 October 2009, 09:04 PM
  #47  
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But they DON'T do any of that any more, are you signed up to that fact?

The money shuffling, as you put it, is no more, not to any significant degree.

London is no longer the world's financial centre, for better or worse. Bankers bank again, they don't play roulette in the dark.
Old 12 October 2009, 09:30 PM
  #48  
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Originally Posted by davyboy
So you for a 20 year variable rate mortgage did you?
No, i have 20 years left on the mortgage. I am not tied in to any fixed period and can change when ever i want with no penalties.

However i am highly unlikly to get the same deal with another lender anyway so the low interest rate that i have at the moment is sort of restricting me. Let hope i dont need to remortgage any time soon!
Old 12 October 2009, 09:40 PM
  #49  
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
But they DON'T do any of that any more, are you signed up to that fact?

The money shuffling, as you put it, is no more, not to any significant degree.

London is no longer the world's financial centre, for better or worse. Bankers bank again, they don't play roulette in the dark.
I appreciate that fact

And I realise that lots of bankers (and people who just happen to work in banks) have lost jobs and livelihoods in the last year or two (a guy in the village lost 500k in Lehman’s shares – his school fees fund)

I suppose ultimately I think it is neigh on impossible to use reactive instruments like regulation to try and stop proactive activities like making money – which we all agree bankers are very good at. – and will always find a way around any imposed restrictions

I’m note really making a value judgment here – it’s just how I see it working (asset bubbles)

Surely as Banks rapidly build their balance sheets they have no option but to start using the one tangible commodity they have – money, to make money
Old 12 October 2009, 09:53 PM
  #50  
TelBoy
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Yes exactly, money is the only tool they have. Which is why it sits so uncomfortably with a lot of people, as you can't "make" money out of money without a certain percentage of people seeing it as immoral, whatever the means. Ask Muslims, they invented the interest free mortgage!

But banking of the future - the immediate future at least, really will be back to basics. Whether new loopholes will be exploited it remains to be seen, but i actually doubt you'll see the like of the asset backed fiasco for at least another generation - when the current crop of people in the industry to have moved on and the new blood has no abiding memory of August 2008...
Old 12 October 2009, 10:02 PM
  #51  
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Originally Posted by hodgy0_2
i use the term "shuffling money around" as a euphemism for the UK economies reliance on the finance/banking sector
Oh FFS - dont get me started again!
Old 12 October 2009, 10:06 PM
  #52  
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
August 2008...
I was working on a project at the largest private investment company in the world then -- it got so bad that one day in September the CEO called the entire site out onto the lawn to give an impromptu ra ra speech – it was quite a fraught time as I remember
Old 12 October 2009, 10:18 PM
  #53  
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Originally Posted by warrenm2
Oh FFS - dont get me started again!



Just goes to prove yet again, that once an opinion is formed, no amount of internet discussion will change an entrenched point of view. Fact of life.
Old 13 October 2009, 09:37 AM
  #55  
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Mecca is to the east
Old 13 October 2009, 10:11 AM
  #56  
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Originally Posted by warrenm2
Oh FFS - dont get me started again!
explain to me the Icelandic economic miracle

I think they have realised they need to get their fishing rods out again
Old 13 October 2009, 12:42 PM
  #57  
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Originally Posted by Steve vRS
The only people that this benefits are those on a tracker mortgage...that they started last October...
I work for a bank and so am on a staff BOE base rate tracker mortgage.

I'll see your and raise you a

However, being one of "those greedy bankers" I'm also at great risk of losing my job soon because you ba$tard taxpayers 'bailed us out'.
Old 13 October 2009, 03:11 PM
  #58  
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Originally Posted by Norman D. Landings
because you ba$tard taxpayers 'bailed us out'.
LOL, becuase the people higher than you made choices to suit themselves and to make a quick buck and it blew up in their faces. We, the "Ba5tard Taxpayer" bailed your bosses out and in return, your bosses need to be seen to be "actively working to repay those ba5tard taxpayers" and sadly your for the chop.

I'll give you a for free.
Old 13 October 2009, 10:40 PM
  #59  
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Well if rates here are to remain low for years, then sterling will tank further, as will the dollar. I'm going to continue to buy gold!
Old 14 October 2009, 09:36 AM
  #60  
EddScott
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You could argue that allowing sterling to become devalued against the world economies might make the UK work force seem more attractive for industry. This, hopefully, should ween the UK off its reliance on finance as the major UK industry.

On the bright side if it gets really bad the UK population could migrate to eastern european countries and see how they like it


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