VAT = 20%!!!!!!
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Money has to come from somewhere.
There is a structural deficit... Remove the underperformance due to the recession (which was caused by bankers or whatever) and there is STILL an underlying structural deficit. Our spending is too high. This has been present for several years. Traditionally, you borrow when the economy is underperforming (recessions) and payback when you're back at capacity. This relies on your 100% functioning economy generating more money than your spending though, which ours does not.
At least ConDems are saying we'll be back at balanced books by 15/16. At which point we'll have a total borrowing of 1.5 trillion or thereabouts (I haven't seen the new figures), which we have to pay interest on (we already pay more interest on our debt than we spend on our schools).
There is a structural deficit... Remove the underperformance due to the recession (which was caused by bankers or whatever) and there is STILL an underlying structural deficit. Our spending is too high. This has been present for several years. Traditionally, you borrow when the economy is underperforming (recessions) and payback when you're back at capacity. This relies on your 100% functioning economy generating more money than your spending though, which ours does not.
At least ConDems are saying we'll be back at balanced books by 15/16. At which point we'll have a total borrowing of 1.5 trillion or thereabouts (I haven't seen the new figures), which we have to pay interest on (we already pay more interest on our debt than we spend on our schools).
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Tathan, agree with you in part, but the economy suffered due to a global resession, not one brought on solely by labour's last government (which everyone thinks it did
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Typo ![Big Grin](images/smilies/biggrin.gif)
I think the VAT is politically motivated as it's indiscriminatory (and admittedly not the best approach). If they'd raised high end taxes the Tory core would have cried into their caviar, if they'd raised low-earning taxes everyone would have said "Same old Tories"; whoever they targeted they were going to get roasted for it, so they just targeted everybody. But yeah, the whole world suffered but we are suffering more because we already had this deficit. When everyone loses money, the man who was already borrowing is the one left in the most kaka.
Oh, and regarding George Osborne, the only way to think of him is as a empty vessel and hope to god whoever's behind him pulling the string knows wtf's going on!
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Tathan, agree with you in part, but the economy suffered due to a global resession, not one brought on solely by labour's last government (which everyone thinks it did
) but too much vat wont get the economy going, it does the total opposite, this is why taxing in certain area's is better (I dont mind paying an extra 5p on a pint, dont care about cigs or spirits, dont want it on fuel, shame we have the lot in one easy go
) so it causes a resession, making debt worse, not better (quick someone get vince in as osbourne has not got a clue
)
Tony![Smile](images/smilies/smile.gif)
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Oh, and regarding George Osborne, the only way to think of him is as a empty vessel and hope to god whoever's behind him pulling the string knows wtf's going on!
Last edited by tathan; 22 June 2010 at 03:24 PM.
#38
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I find it funny ![Lol1](images/smilies/lol1.gif)
You dont need to raise duty on fuel, the 20% (or extra 2.5% will hit fuel anyway adding about 4-5p a litre), of course if you have no understanding why labour dropped the vat to 15% then you wont understand why raising this to 20% is a very bad idea, welcome to the new resession (same as in the 80's when the tories bumped up vat from 15% to 17.5% and put nearly 5 million people out of work
)
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You dont need to raise duty on fuel, the 20% (or extra 2.5% will hit fuel anyway adding about 4-5p a litre), of course if you have no understanding why labour dropped the vat to 15% then you wont understand why raising this to 20% is a very bad idea, welcome to the new resession (same as in the 80's when the tories bumped up vat from 15% to 17.5% and put nearly 5 million people out of work
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Vat is what you pay on all goods (with some exceptions like childrens clothing), I am not an expert here but the more you pay on an item the less you want it, which means you now hit the visious circle of a downward spiral.
Higher tax = less spending.
Less spending = less profit.
Less profit = less jobs (as you cannot afford to keep people on)
Less jobs = more unemployment
More unemployment = bigger strain on the benefits system etc.
Higher tax = less spending.
Less spending = less profit.
Less profit = less jobs (as you cannot afford to keep people on)
Less jobs = more unemployment
More unemployment = bigger strain on the benefits system etc.
The stats say that the average uk household spent £471 a week in 2008 (most recent figures available) The various sources available suggest that around 7.5% of this is VAT
7.5% of £471 = £35 per week VAT cost. So the spend on vatable goods and services at 17.5% = £235 (including the VAT) per week
Up the VAT to 20% and the same spend on vatable goods and services would be £240, or £5 per week. That's per household (3.9 people I believe)
Is that figure likely to bring about rises in unemployment? Impossible to say. Will any increases offset the revenue generation? Again, impossible for anyone to call at this stage as there are many more variables at play, including the reduction in corporation tax and the reversal of the employers NI increase that Labour had wanted.
Some business sectors may see a reduction in sales, but then they are paying less tax on profits and less NI than was proposed.
Hence why labour dropped vat to increase spending and in doing so bring an end to resession due to jobs being made and an increase of money flowing through the economy.
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Presumably that was before the government was almost half of the economy, feeling the need to run everything from the military to what nuddy pictures we look at.
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That was years ago, well back in the late 70's or early 80's (probably around 80/81 when the tories added a takeaway tax of 10%)
Tathan, agree with you in part, but the economy suffered due to a global resession, not one brought on solely by labour's last government (which everyone thinks it did
) but too much vat wont get the economy going, it does the total opposite, this is why taxing in certain area's is better (I dont mind paying an extra 5p on a pint, dont care about cigs or spirits, dont want it on fuel, shame we have the lot in one easy go
) so it causes a resession, making debt worse, not better (quick someone get vince in as osbourne has not got a clue
)
Tony![Smile](images/smilies/smile.gif)
Tathan, agree with you in part, but the economy suffered due to a global resession, not one brought on solely by labour's last government (which everyone thinks it did
![Roll Eyes (Sarcastic)](images/smilies/rolleyes.gif)
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Tony
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The vat increase will cost far more than you have stated, on an average car which does average mileage, it will cost on average 360 pence to fill up the average 60 ltr tank (2 to 3 times a month), add gas/electric/water/bills/food/clothing/beer etc to that, its not cheap, they basically just hit everything because they couldnt be bothered hiting specific area's.
Will it affect spending? of course, you will still have the same take home pay, you just wont have as much to spend on it due to everything going up
![Frown](images/smilies/frown.gif)
This will have a knock on effect, just as it did in the 80's, and its a painful reminder of how not to tax people, it makes the poor even poorer (not many of those on less than 10k, average will be 12k) so it will slow down the economy, not a good thing as that's what puts you into resession.
Interesting reading your points though DD
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You're right that there is a global recession (which Labour didn't cause), but the fact that the UK is in very poor shape to deal with it is absolutely down to Labour. Just as in some industries, they're all affected by the downturn but some will go bust (those iwth management teams that ran their businesses in the same way that the Government ran our country for the last 13 years). The businesses that survive are those that managed their cost bases properly in the good times instead of empire building for vanity's sake.
See what happens next year, dont think it will be pretty though
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VAT to 20% is no big deal at all, if Labour hadn't ****ed every thing up by putting it down to 15%, it most likely wouldn't have been put at that amount anyway.
I would of preferred it to be 22% for the next 3 years, then reducing it annually after that time till a sustainable figure was reached.
I would of preferred it to be 22% for the next 3 years, then reducing it annually after that time till a sustainable figure was reached.
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#45
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The vat increase will cost far more than you have stated, on an average car which does average mileage, it will cost on average 360 pence to fill up the average 60 ltr tank (2 to 3 times a month), add gas/electric/water/bills/food/clothing/beer etc to that, its not cheap, they basically just hit everything because they couldnt be bothered hiting specific area's.
Tony
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And you need to do your sums again
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A 60 litre tank at say £1.25 a litre will cost you £75, or £63.80 plus vat to fill
At 20% VAT the tank will cost you £76.56 including the VAT - an increase of £1.56 per tank, not £3.60
Of course the cost of living will go up with the VAT increase, but something had to be done.
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I dont mind if it makes a little difference, people buy too much **** anyway, too much stuff, too much waste, just too much, if you cant afford it dont buy it.
its a step in the right direction, bit of a reality check after years of labour not realising, just need to re-establish the link between work, effort and reward, wean the benefits generations off just claiming like a rat getting its bit of cheese, maybe even suggest that the country has a bottom line that affects everyone else, not everyone can take take take, I know most of the Jeremy Kyle audience dont care but they might start to if the gravy train stops.
its a step in the right direction, bit of a reality check after years of labour not realising, just need to re-establish the link between work, effort and reward, wean the benefits generations off just claiming like a rat getting its bit of cheese, maybe even suggest that the country has a bottom line that affects everyone else, not everyone can take take take, I know most of the Jeremy Kyle audience dont care but they might start to if the gravy train stops.
#48
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I dont mind if it makes a little difference, people buy too much **** anyway, too much stuff, too much waste, just too much, if you cant afford it dont buy it.
its a step in the right direction, bit of a reality check after years of labour not realising, just need to re-establish the link between work, effort and reward, wean the benefits generations off just claiming like a rat getting its bit of cheese, maybe even suggest that the country has a bottom line that affects everyone else, not everyone can take take take, I know most of the Jeremy Kyle audience dont care but they might start to if the gravy train stops.
its a step in the right direction, bit of a reality check after years of labour not realising, just need to re-establish the link between work, effort and reward, wean the benefits generations off just claiming like a rat getting its bit of cheese, maybe even suggest that the country has a bottom line that affects everyone else, not everyone can take take take, I know most of the Jeremy Kyle audience dont care but they might start to if the gravy train stops.
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Love the names for all the taxes but 'Value added' is a great one
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vat seems the best way, the more you spend the more you pay. glad i had my big spends this year.
just to add i work for John Lewis and the cost of the price changes is massive, i agree 22% and get it done with asap.
just to add i work for John Lewis and the cost of the price changes is massive, i agree 22% and get it done with asap.
Last edited by F1 CJE UK; 22 June 2010 at 08:01 PM.
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Awesome budget, I am a couple of hundred quid worse off but I dont mind doing my bit. I will revisit my conclusion in a year or so when I believe we might be heading towards a recovery.
Good work Tories/liberals. I especially like the cap on housing benefit!!!!
I enjoyed it when it was a free for all and I am man enough to take the pain now its not so bright.
Good work Tories/liberals. I especially like the cap on housing benefit!!!!
I enjoyed it when it was a free for all and I am man enough to take the pain now its not so bright.
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Thankfully, I'm in a position to "take it on the chin". And if it means a better future for my kids, I can live with the stuff that came out today.
I could have been born in some under developed ****e hole with absolutely no future for me and mine whatsoever!
I could have been born in some under developed ****e hole with absolutely no future for me and mine whatsoever!
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I agree it was a pretty smart budget, but as always too much politics not enough hard action. There has to be a strong argument for not faffing around with lots minor tweaks to small tax measures, and instead putting up income tax, it is afterall suposed to be the most fair/progressive way for the government to raise money.
Politics hey
Politics hey
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#56
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Impossible to please all of the people all of the time. I'm no economist so cannot predict what the effect of the 20% VAT rate will be but, in common with other posters, I did not suddenly become super rich when it was reduced to 15%. I thereby predict I will not become 'poor' at 20%. As I said, the bigger picture is a different matter but I don't see how this rate in isolation would significantly effect the economically active among us and thus no downward spiral. However....................
In simple terms, if you ignore the macro economics, revenue generation by collecting VAT is a relatively fair way as purchasing is a discretionary act (with exceptions of course, which should be VAT exempt or subsidised and may be but I don't actually know
).
dnc
In simple terms, if you ignore the macro economics, revenue generation by collecting VAT is a relatively fair way as purchasing is a discretionary act (with exceptions of course, which should be VAT exempt or subsidised and may be but I don't actually know
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Got to agree - good budget.
OK vat goes up. hey ho. A small price to pay for having balanced books (amongst other cuts) by the next general election (2014 ish)..... smart move imho.
And as for kick starting people back into the jobs market.... well about fookin time.
Business seems to be quite content with this budget too....
All in all - quite positive... with a "ouch - this might hurt a bit, but not much".....
But then what do I know? About as much as the rest of us mooks on the Internet!![Big Grin](images/smilies/biggrin.gif)
OK vat goes up. hey ho. A small price to pay for having balanced books (amongst other cuts) by the next general election (2014 ish)..... smart move imho.
And as for kick starting people back into the jobs market.... well about fookin time.
Business seems to be quite content with this budget too....
All in all - quite positive... with a "ouch - this might hurt a bit, but not much".....
But then what do I know? About as much as the rest of us mooks on the Internet!
![Big Grin](images/smilies/biggrin.gif)
Awesome budget, I am a couple of hundred quid worse off but I dont mind doing my bit. I will revisit my conclusion in a year or so when I believe we might be heading towards a recovery.
Good work Tories/liberals. I especially like the cap on housing benefit!!!!
I enjoyed it when it was a free for all and I am man enough to take the pain now its not so bright.
Good work Tories/liberals. I especially like the cap on housing benefit!!!!
I enjoyed it when it was a free for all and I am man enough to take the pain now its not so bright.
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Anyone else worried by the fact that we're going to have higher taxes due to labour's incompetence and in 4 years time, we're going to have them again because their supporters won't accept the blame and subsequent need for tax increases to pay back their last effort, and just insist this is 'same old tories again'?
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Anyone else worried by the fact that we're going to have higher taxes due to labour's incompetence and in 4 years time, we're going to have them again because their supporters won't accept the blame and subsequent need for tax increases to pay back their last effort, and just insist this is 'same old tories again'? ![Brickwall](images/smilies/brickwall.gif)
![Brickwall](images/smilies/brickwall.gif)
Hmmmmm, wheres Pete at?, seems he has started this already.