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Old 19 March 2013, 02:30 PM
  #61  
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Originally Posted by SouthWalesSam
Not sure what all this fuss is about.

UK goverment's already done this over here, e.g.:

- £66Bn cash bailout into RBS and Llyods alone. That's £2,300 from each of the 29million taxpayers in the UK. It's taken in instalments instead of a 'one-off' hit.

- Gordon Brown's tax 'raid' on pension schemes, estimated £5Bn p.a.

- Etc..

Same thing really except over here it's the taxpayer/pension saver who's taking the hit while in Cyprus it's depositors.

They'll live.

And has any of you any better ideas as to how you raise 6Bn Euro at short notice in a tax haven?
I said earlier that Brown has already done this to us, just in a different manner. Even today savers and investors are being punished by the pathetic interest rates which is intentionally set low to help with lending.

Originally Posted by TelBoy
Haven't read the whole thread. Condense it for me, how many bankers should die this week?
Bankers that have a surname ending with "ou" or "os" have their days numbered
Old 19 March 2013, 03:01 PM
  #62  
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Anyone them earning over 20k a year!
Old 19 March 2013, 03:18 PM
  #63  
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Originally Posted by alcazar
How will it be different, Les? The € is ready to collapse and the £ is at it's lowest rate AGAINST the € for five years!

So where does that leave the £?
I am not a financial expert, but so far it seems to me that being part of the Eu and kow towing to all their orders and demands has not done us any significant good so far. Why is the Euro about to collapse anyway and what is the real reason for the present weakness of the Pound? I remember the Labour treasury minister leaving a message for his Conservative successor to say that there was no money left! What does that tell us?

I think the real answer,purely from a common sense point of view, is to get away from the self seeking prongo's in charge of the Eu and allow our own government to re-generate the strong economy as it was as when NL were elected and before they had a chance to sell us down the river. The last thing we want to do is to let that prat ***** get his hands on the economy for a start.

What are your ideas for a proper solution?

It would be good also to have a PM who keeps the promises he made in order to get elected!

Les
Old 19 March 2013, 03:26 PM
  #64  
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Originally Posted by f1_fan
Maybe Telboy can comment on this, but isn't doing something like this likely to seriously further undermine any confidence that there is left for anyone to invest in the Eurozone? If they can do it to Cyrpus they can do it anywhere. It is unprecedented!

This seems to me like a really stupid thing to do for the bigger longer term picture, but maybe I just don't get it.

Personally i don't think it will seriously undermine that confidence, but it won't do it any good, that's for sure. All these peripheral basket cases are still seen as exceptions, and to a large extent they are. But confidence is a human thing, and if that goes, who knows where it will end. For the moment, the doom merchants of the EU (count me amongst them) still have a place at the table. More sellotape, more kicking the can down the road. It has to end somewhere. The trouble is, nobody knows where. You know my views on a new world order and actions like this do nothing to detract me from that view.
Old 19 March 2013, 03:31 PM
  #65  
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Originally Posted by Leslie
I am not a financial expert, but so far it seems to me that being part of the Eu and kow towing to all their orders and demands has not done us any significant good so far. Why is the Euro about to collapse anyway
I believe it's because if the TOTAL debts of the member states were called, they would be more than they can pay.It will only take one country to have to pull out and the whole lot will come down...at least, that is what they were saying on TV last year, even in France.

Originally Posted by Leslie
and what is the real reason for the present weakness of the Pound? I remember the Labour treasury minister leaving a message for his Conservative successor to say that there was no money left! What does that tell us?
It's my belief that it is being kept artificially weak in order to help with exports. But as we are nett importers, that seems an odd thing to do, especially since it badly effects energy prices, since the Conservatives wrecked the coal industry.

Originally Posted by Leslie
I think the real answer,purely from a common sense point of view, is to get away from the self seeking prongo's in charge of the Eu and allow our own government to re-generate the strong economy as it was as when NL were elected and before they had a chance to sell us down the river.
What's to stop them doing that as PART of the EU, just as they did before?

Originally Posted by Leslie
The last thing we want to do is to let that prat ***** get his hands on the economy for a start.
No argument from me.

Originally Posted by Leslie
What are your ideas for a proper solution?
We have still got cuts to make, but the speed at which these are being managed is harming our growth. Since the next election is still quite a way away, expect more of the same. But I'm with the IMF: we need growth.

Originally Posted by Leslie
It would be good also to have a PM who keeps the promises he made in order to get elected!

Les
Like that's going to happen any day soon.
Old 19 March 2013, 03:35 PM
  #66  
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Originally Posted by Leslie
I am not a financial expert, but so far it seems to me that being part of the Eu and kow towing to all their orders and demands has not done us any significant good so far. Why is the Euro about to collapse anyway and what is the real reason for the present weakness of the Pound? I remember the Labour treasury minister leaving a message for his Conservative successor to say that there was no money left! What does that tell us?

I think the real answer,purely from a common sense point of view, is to get away from the self seeking prongo's in charge of the Eu and allow our own government to re-generate the strong economy as it was as when NL were elected and before they had a chance to sell us down the river. The last thing we want to do is to let that prat ***** get his hands on the economy for a start.

What are your ideas for a proper solution?

It would be good also to have a PM who keeps the promises he made in order to get elected!

Les
Good old Les, on form as always

So to summarise the above, you don't want the EU in charge and you don't want Labour in charge, you only want some, as yet defined, person or persons in control.

It's an absolute belter of a post
Old 19 March 2013, 03:38 PM
  #67  
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Old 19 March 2013, 03:47 PM
  #68  
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Originally Posted by Martin2005
Good old Les, on form as always

So to summarise the above, you don't want the EU in charge and you don't want Labour in charge, you only want some, as yet defined, person or persons in control.

It's an absolute belter of a post
Well I certainly don't want ANYONE in charge who was remotely connected to the last lot, so *****, Milliband, Blears et al can go and take a fluing fyck.

Like they can re-invent themselves?

Aye, right.....
Old 19 March 2013, 03:57 PM
  #69  
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
You know my views on a new world orderand actions like this do nothing to detract me from that view.
I don't and would like to know

you seem too sensible to be embroiled in the "new world order" crowd
Old 19 March 2013, 04:06 PM
  #70  
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Not in the tree huggy sense, in the sense that the standard of living we've become accustomed to as the norm is way overdone, growth in capitalist society isn't (and cannot be) a one-way street, especially if it's built on borrowing. I just see a fairly significant correction in play, albeit at the early stages. Europe's problems are a microcosm of the world economy, in my opinion.
Old 19 March 2013, 04:34 PM
  #71  
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Originally Posted by Martin2005
Good old Les, on form as always

So to summarise the above, you don't want the EU in charge and you don't want Labour in charge, you only want some, as yet defined, person or persons in control.

It's an absolute belter of a post
What an historical post from you Martin!

Yes you are dead right in this case, except I assume you meant "not yet defined" person in control. I cant think of a suitable candidate at the moment,,,can you?

So pleasant to have your support for once, I do hope that you are not going to spoil it all by claiming it to be a footling attempt at sarcasm!

Les
Old 19 March 2013, 04:36 PM
  #72  
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Cypriot Finance Minister reported as having resigned

Oh what a mess


I wonder which Russian oligach gave him the option to resign or start choosing a headstone
Old 19 March 2013, 05:17 PM
  #73  
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I just took a look at the Cypriot tax system.

I'm not sure anyone over there could find a way to actually have to pay any!!

Couple that with what the Govt has allowed to happen in their banking sector, and it's time to line their politicians up against a wall blindfolded!!

If I was a German, French etc... taxpayer I would NOT want my money bailing this lot out.
Old 19 March 2013, 05:26 PM
  #74  
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Yes you are dead right in this case, except I assume you meant "not yet defined" person in control. I cant think of a suitable candidate at the moment,,,can you?
I'd imagine the love child of Winston Churchill and Maggie Thatcher would be right up your street?
Old 19 March 2013, 05:26 PM
  #75  
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In Cyprus you have to opt IN to the taxation regime. Whoever thought the EU could work with all these ridiculous sideshow by-laws and financial non-regulations is beyond me

Story is now that the Finance Minister had his resignation rejected That's ok then. What a circus.
Old 19 March 2013, 06:36 PM
  #76  
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If you wrote this as a script for a TV programme, it would be rejected as too far-fetched.
Old 19 March 2013, 07:17 PM
  #77  
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
Not in the tree huggy sense, in the sense that the standard of living we've become accustomed to as the norm is way overdone, growth in capitalist society isn't (and cannot be) a one-way street, especially if it's built on borrowing. I just see a fairly significant correction in play, albeit at the early stages. Europe's problems are a microcosm of the world economy, in my opinion.

Yep. I suspect you may be right, and I have maintained pretty consistantly that thing are going to get much worse for the majority

one narrative that attempts to explain the current crisis goes, loosely, as follows:

By the 1970s, the post-war mixed economy model of capitalism had run out of puff. The long post war boom led to a lower rate of profit for capital as full employment meant workers received a bigger slice of the cake.

ultimately capitalism demands the best return on capital, not its most productive use

Unemployment coupled with the free-market reforms of the late 1970s and 1980s broke the power of industrial labor and shifted the focus of western economies from manufacturing to finance.

and financial capitalism delivered higher profits (better returns), and a by product was the suppressing wages (certainly real wages in the US have not risen for the last 30 years). But since market economies can only function if there is sufficient demand for goods and services, a way had to be found to boost consumption.

That was achieved through higher levels of personal debt, (the rise thru the 90's of cheap credit - underpinned by ever rising house prices) cheerfully provided by the newly liberalised financial services sector. Growth rates were kept artificially high, and the tax revenues thereby generated allowed governments to spend more than they could actually afford.

To complete the picture, the debt was shifted across national borders by globalisation, so China would lend America the money to buy the cheap industrial products being made in the factories of east Asia, and Germany would do the same for the less competitive members of the eurozone, such as Greece and Spain.

witness, as I did first hand, row upon row of brand new 50K Audi's used as taxi's in the Canary Islands and Athens airports -- I remember thinking at the time, "how the fvck do these peasants afford these cars"

Last edited by hodgy0_2; 19 March 2013 at 11:21 PM.
Old 19 March 2013, 07:34 PM
  #78  
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Euro sliding away...
Old 19 March 2013, 08:31 PM
  #79  
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
Cypriot Finance Minister reported as having resigned

Oh what a mess
Since then he has contacted the Press to state that he hasn't.

But the mess continues - the vote has now taken place....

Drum roll please....

56 MPs can vote....








There were 36 votes against, and 19 abstentions.
One MP didn't even show up.


So what now?

Originally Posted by Mats Perrson (Open Europe)
Cyprus blinks: After some face-saving tweaks, but with a depositor levy of some sort remaining in place, another parliamentary vote is held and Cyprus approves the deal. The stakes are simply too high.

The eurozone blinks: Amid fears that a Cypriot exit from the euro will trigger widespread contagion, Germany and other Northern members might give Cyprus more flexible terms. But as German parties have said they won’t vote on the deal until the Cypriots have passed it, will the Bundestag and the Finnish Parliament approve such an agreement? After all, the German government is reasonable in its basic demand: that German taxpayers shouldn’t prop up a bloated financial sector dominated by Russian interests. Furthermore, will the ECB, which has been the most hawkish over Cyprus, withdraw liquidity for Cypriot banks as it has threatened?

Cyprus pursues 'other plans': President Anastasiades suggested today that his government is making 'other plans'. It’s not clear what those are, but as we have long noted, additional rescue cash from Russia remains one option. Other options include a financial transaction tax or plans to convert deposits into deposit certificates with fixed long term maturities. But there are numerous problems with these options.

Cyprus goes down: No compromise can be found and Cyprus runs out of cash. The two largest Cypriot banks would go without recapitalisation and could see their liquidity assistance (sanctioned by the ECB via the Bank of Cyprus) cut off, leading to insolvency and collapse. In turn, this would put the €30bn of insured deposits at risk, since the government would not be able to guarantee such a figure. Combined, this would bring down the Cypriot financial system. With the financial sector close to or in the process of collapsing, and no support to be had from the eurozone or ECB, Cyprus could even be forced to ditch the euro and begin printing its own new currency. This currency would have little international trust and could lead to a spiral of hyperinflation and further political and economic chaos.
Old 19 March 2013, 11:18 PM
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as the new pope is rumoured to have said, when handed his red ceremonial robe, preferring to wear a simple white smock

“carnival time is over boys”
Old 19 March 2013, 11:36 PM
  #81  
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Could the EU be trying to get rid of Cyprus, who are preventing Turkey from joining the EZ?

The Turkish economy is in growth, whereas we know the state Cyprus is in. Then again, why would Turkey want to join now everyone can see what the EU is really like.
Old 20 March 2013, 12:25 AM
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Nigel Farage speaks;

Old 20 March 2013, 09:58 AM
  #83  
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Farage? Wouldn't p*ss on him if he was on fire and setting fire to my shed.
Old 20 March 2013, 01:17 PM
  #84  
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Originally Posted by alcazar
Farage? Wouldn't p*ss on him if he was on fire and setting fire to my shed.
Bad hair day?
Old 20 March 2013, 01:33 PM
  #85  
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Have I got this right?

If the Germans stick their boot in and insist that Cypriots take the hit on their savings then if/when the banks open there will be a run and they will collapse with literally no money left. So the Russian boys will lose out big time as their dodgy money will be gone.

So in that eventuality the Russians are going to have to sort this mess out.

Buy the oil/gas exploration rights?

dl
Old 20 March 2013, 02:13 PM
  #86  
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Originally Posted by David Lock
Have I got this right?

If the Germans stick their boot in and insist that Cypriots take the hit on their savings then if/when the banks open there will be a run and they will collapse with literally no money left. So the Russian boys will lose out big time as their dodgy money will be gone.

So in that eventuality the Russians are going to have to sort this mess out.

Buy the oil/gas exploration rights?

dl
There are already unconfirmed reports stating that the Russians are ready to buy the Cypriot banks, which would not only stop them losing money, but also give them control of much of the financial industry there. If so, Cyprus surely would have no need for the EU anymore...

The alternative of the Russians is taking over the gas fields. The EU gets 34% of it's gas from Russia and Russia has form in cutting off supplies as it showed when it did so to Ukraine.
Old 20 March 2013, 02:16 PM
  #87  
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Cyprus accepts a deposit tax - soon as banks re open - run on bank - collapse
Cyprus rejects a deposit tax - banks may never open again - collapse
EU give in and offer favorable terms to Cyprus - Greece Portugal Spain Ireland kickoff - Merkel loses job
Russia steps in and saves Cyprus - EU snubbed - unknown outcome - possibly Cyprus leaves Euro/EU
Old 20 March 2013, 02:20 PM
  #88  
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Part of the banks should be nationalised if they are bailed out by a government.

If this doesn't happen the same mistakes will get repeated.

It is nice to play on someone else's back without facing the consequences, isn't it?

Read this when you get a chance: http://translate.google.co.uk/transl...23more&act=url
Old 20 March 2013, 02:20 PM
  #89  
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Apparently the Church will bung them a bit of their spare cash, save the economy

Are these essentially Russians ?
Old 20 March 2013, 02:21 PM
  #90  
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Originally Posted by alcazar
Farage? Wouldn't p*ss on him if he was on fire and setting fire to my shed.
Me too, but setting fire to my shed is going a bit too far...I'd try and poke him away from it with a long stick


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