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Old 29 July 2011, 10:43 AM
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J4CKO
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Default US Default, place your bets....

So, we are going to the wire, I can see my shares sliding in anticipation of financial armageddon, so what will happen,

1/ Total Meltdown as nothing is agreed, end of world as we know it.

2/ 11th hour deal, much wiping of fevered brows, markets bounce back, situation deffered for a couple of years.

3/ Will Smith flies in smoking a cigar (well it isnt lit, just for the look) in a B52 full of money and gold to the value of 15 Trillion, enough to pay the debt off and have a big **** off party, cue much whooping and High fiving, God bless America etc.

I am erring on option 2, but three seems a more probable outcome.
Old 29 July 2011, 10:51 AM
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The Zohan
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Originally Posted by J4CKO
So, we are going to the wire, I can see my shares sliding in anticipation of financial armageddon, so what will happen,

1/ Total Meltdown as nothing is agreed, end of world as we know it.

2/ 11th hour deal, much wiping of fevered brows, markets bounce back, situation deffered for a couple of years.

3/ Will Smith flies in smoking a cigar (well it isnt lit, just for the look) in a B52 full of money and gold to the value of 15 Trillion, enough to pay the debt off and have a big **** off party, cue much whooping and High fiving, God bless America etc.

I am erring on option 2, but three seems a more probable outcome.
I have often wondered if Obama and Will Smith are the same person...
Old 29 July 2011, 10:58 AM
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GlesgaKiss
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3 would be the coolest, but probably 2. Maybe not quite the eleventh hour though.
Old 29 July 2011, 11:16 AM
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ChefDude
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US default? never gonna happen. i doubt there would even be restructuring. 0 credit events.

can you imagine what would happen if they did

ostrich mode, i think
Old 29 July 2011, 11:19 AM
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TelBoy
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Originally Posted by ChefDude
US default? never gonna happen.


What, like it has before you mean?
Old 29 July 2011, 11:22 AM
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boxst
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They will just ask Apple to lend it some money ...

http://www.knowyourmobile.com/blog/9...overnment.html

Last edited by boxst; 29 July 2011 at 11:25 AM.
Old 29 July 2011, 11:28 AM
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Never going to happen.
Old 29 July 2011, 11:31 AM
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TelBoy
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Originally Posted by BlkKnight
Never going to happen.


What, like it has before you mean?
Old 29 July 2011, 01:50 PM
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ChefDude
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Originally Posted by TelBoy
What, like it has before you mean?

I just looked it up - 1776 and a couple of t-bills in 1979 does not reflect the US Govt for any proability of default on any level.

i stand by my statement
Old 29 July 2011, 01:54 PM
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I think the actual concern is not will they won't they (they don't really have a choice) but what sort of mess will they agree to when all the political posturing is over.

The Zohan - funniest post of the day
Old 29 July 2011, 01:54 PM
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TelBoy
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It's slightly different i'll give you that


But still


It's gonna be one tense day on Monday if there's no progress at the weekend.
Old 29 July 2011, 01:55 PM
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Originally Posted by ChefDude
i stand by my statement
So does the rest of the world by the looks of things! Would the 10yr yield really be just over 3% at the prospect of default?

The ostrich in the sand thing has been, and probably will continue to go on, for years. It's not a secret that the U.S. is, for all intents and purposes, insolvent.
Old 29 July 2011, 02:04 PM
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the fed has to cash the cheques, however dodgy it appears to be. i expect they'll sell off some of their t-bills.

i don't have a terminal anymore, so i don't keep up with the debt figures.
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